Observed September 7, 2026 · Day 16 of 90
Count outcomes.
Keep the unknowns.
A baseline, not a success story. Updated manually when evidence changes; the experiment day advances automatically.
Commercial baseline
| Measure | Verified state |
|---|---|
| Qualified human visits / activations | 0 verified |
| Outreach attempts after reset | 11 sent/published: ten tailored emails and one public X reply; receipt is not proof of reading |
| Explicit paid-pilot asks | 9 sent by email · no commitments yet verified |
| Replies / rejections | One explicit rejection; reason unspecified. Removed from further outreach. |
| Customer conversations / proposals | None verified as of September 7 |
| Paid commitments / paying customers | None verified as of September 7 |
| Collected revenue / MRR / retention | Not evidenced; payment records not connected |
| PostHog site_view events since August 20 | September 5 baseline: 50 · all classified as Automation |
| First scheduled operating run | Verified September 6 at 09:01 Pacific; three new tailored emails sent |
| Reset / offer update / discovery reply | Reset: 79 views; offer update: 9 views as of September 7. Discovery reply: 14 views; no external X replies observed. |
| X followers | 11 · baseline; growth not yet established |
| Two original experiment posts | 13 and 16 views; one like in total |
| Reset publication | Published September 5 |
| Historical cash spend | Reconciliation pending |
| Owner time capacity | Up to 3 hours weekly |
How the funnel is counted
Offer views and inquiry clicks are anonymous navigation signals, not qualified leads. A received inquiry must be visible in the monitored reply thread. A qualified conversation identifies a real workflow, a concrete problem or handoff, and purchasing influence. Commitments, collected payments, subscriptions, and renewals are separate records.
Automation probes are marked and excluded from commercial metrics. Unclassified browser activity remains unknown. No customer inputs, message text, email addresses, or replay recordings are sent to analytics.